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Plank B dossier

Pending

Ban Congressional Stock Trading

This is a research page. Bill numbers belong to the 119th Congress and expire when the 120th Congress is seated in January 2027.

What this plank asks for

Congress will pass a ban on members of Congress (and their spouses and dependent children) trading individual stocks while in office.

The outcome is that members cannot trade individual stocks while they serve. The method is a law that Congress votes on. If you take the pledge, you back candidates who commit to bring this to a floor vote and pass it with nothing unrelated attached.

Where it stands

PENDING

Two pollsters on the Qualifying Pollster List asked a matching question. The Consensus Test needs three. Every counted poll is above 70 percent nationally and above 60 percent in both parties. Two planks on the slate, congressional term limits and a binding Supreme Court ethics code, are fully qualified today. This one is one pollster short.

What moves it: one more listed pollster asks a neutral question about banning members of Congress from trading stocks and clears the same lines.

The evidence

PollsterFieldworkQuestion askedNationalRepublicansDemocratsIndependentsCounts toward the test
Economist/YouGovMay 22-26, 2026"banned from buying or selling individual stocks while they hold public office" (members of Congress and other elected officials)71746971Yes
Fox News Poll (Beacon Research, Shaw & Company Research)Sept 11-14, 2026"Banning current members of Congress and their immediate family and staff from trading stocks?"81798281Yes
Fox News Poll (same pollster)Jan 23-26, 2026Same question75837067Yes
YouGovMay 7-10, 2024"Banning stock trading by elected officials"73777371Yes
Program for Public ConsultationFeb 11-26, 2026Prohibit members of Congress from trading stocks in individual companies76787572No, pollster not admitted
Program for Public ConsultationJul 10-19, 2024Same idea, with live-in family, after a briefing72.470.678.357.1No, pollster not admitted
Program for Public ConsultationMay 19-30, 2023Same idea, with live-in family, after a briefing86.286.688.380.5No, pollster not admitted
Harvard CAPS/HarrisFeb 25-26, 2026"Proposed a ban on stock trading by members of Congress while in office"72836368No, pollster not admitted
Data for ProgressAug 1-3, 2026"Preventing members of Congress from purchasing and trading stocks"65676860No, pollster not admitted
Data for ProgressApr 18-21, 2025Ban members of Congress from trading individual stocks60586162No, pollster not admitted
Morning ConsultJan 15-16, 2022Ban on stock trading by members of Congress63586964No, pollster not admitted

Two Fox waves count as one pollster, and so do two YouGov polls. The medians of the four counted polls are 74 nationally, 78 for Republicans and 71.5 for Democrats. The newest counted poll ended September 14, 2026, so the recency rule stays met until September 14, 2027.

The Fox question adds staff and says stocks, not individual stocks. The YouGov questions cover other elected officials, and the 2024 one is one of about 60 items. We counted them because each tests the same method, a ban on members trading. The 18 month span depends on the 2024 YouGov poll.

The Program for Public Consultation polls are context. The list requires a current transparency credential, and it has none today. It can change that by depositing recent surveys with the Roper Center or joining the AAPOR Transparency Initiative.

The five tests

In Congress right now

Bill numbers above belong to the 119th Congress. They expire when the 120th Congress is seated in January 2027. The plank does not.

How signers would be graded

House. Signing a discharge petition. Voting on rules and previous-question votes that decide whether a clean bill reaches the floor. Voting on the bill itself. Voting in committee where votes are recorded.

Senate. Voting on cloture. Voting on the bill itself. Agreeing to or blocking floor action by unanimous consent. This plank has no confirmation standard.

The passage bar is a simple majority in the House. In the Senate, cloture takes 60 votes, then the bill passes by simple majority. No constitutional amendment is needed.

A member is graded only on levers that member could use. On a TAINTED bill, the up-or-down vote does not decide the verdict. The levers listed in the determination do. Each member gets one verdict, KEPT or BROKE.

Lines of attack and our answers

"The House already passed a stock trading ban." The House passed a bill 232 to 198 that also had a voter photo ID section. It barred new purchases and let members sell after seven to 14 days of public notice. The plank asks for a ban on trading.

"Every Senate Democrat voted against a stock ban." The September 30 vote was on ending debate, it needed 60, and the bill carried the photo ID section. The plank asks for a vote on the ban alone.

"Only two pollsters count." That is true, and this page says so. The status is PENDING until a third listed pollster asks the question.

"The Pledge left out polls with higher support." Those polls are published above as context. The list rules apply to every pollster the same way.

"The Pledge picks a side." Both parties are at 69 percent or higher in every counted poll. The votes on the photo ID bill split by party, and we publish that split as recorded.

Sources

  1. Economist/YouGov release: yougov.com
  2. Economist/YouGov crosstabs: d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net
  3. Fox News Poll topline, Sept 2026: static.foxnews.com
  4. Fox News Poll crosstabs, Sept 2026: static.foxnews.com
  5. Fox News Poll topline, Jan 2026: static.foxnews.com
  6. Fox News Poll crosstabs, Jan 2026: static.foxnews.com
  7. YouGov crosstab, May 2024: ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net
  8. Program for Public Consultation, Feb 2026: publicconsultation.org
  9. Program for Public Consultation, Jul 2024: publicconsultation.org
  10. Program for Public Consultation, May 2023: publicconsultation.org
  11. Harvard CAPS/Harris crosstabs: harvardharrispoll.com
  12. Data for Progress, Aug 2026: filesforprogress.org
  13. Data for Progress, Apr 2025: filesforprogress.org
  14. Morning Consult crosstabs: assets.morningconsult.com
  15. Silver Bulletin pollster ratings: natesilver.net
  16. House roll call 280: clerk.house.gov
  17. Senate roll call 253: senate.gov
  18. Congress.gov bill pages: congress.gov , congress.gov , congress.gov
  19. Clerk of the House discharge petition page: clerk.house.gov

Last updated October 19, 2026. Criteria version: Draft 3, ratified October 16, 2026.

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